Bottom in the US dollar against the Canadian dollar

We have been looking for a bottom in the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. 

It is been difficult, but now it appears that the technicals are turning. The chart from Bloomberg shows that the US dollar is moving above a trend line down off the January 20 high just below CAD1.47. The prospects of  bullish movement of the pair  may be will be helped by a expected positive employment report next week

We see here downtrend   from the end of February and the mid of March. It intersects today near CAD1.3200.

Now very important is the level CAD 1.3400-CAD 1.3460.

Oil prices went down the same day the USD peaked against the Canadian dollar. Oil prices put in a high on March 18, the same day the US dollar put in its low against the Canadian dollar. We expect downtrend of the Oil prices. 

The long-term trend remains bullish

The unexpected pickup in economic activity and rising factory-gate prices may encourage Canadian companies to boost consumer prices and a stronger CPI report may cause further decline as it boosts expectations for the interest-rate.

But the long-term trend remains bullish. That’s  why we will look at further losses as corrective and treat them as an opportunity to enter long at more attractive levels once the pullback is exhausted.